Eastern Kentucky
W-L: (17-34) PR = 91.2138Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 3- 6 214 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 0-13 214 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 14- 7 217 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 16-11 222 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 4- 5 225 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5- 6 227 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 4- 5 228 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6- 3 301 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 3-11 303 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 0- 5 304 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 4- 4 306 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 2-15 307 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 4 308 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 10- 6 310 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 0-17 312 A BYU B12 (28-27, 94.7) 2- 5 313 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 12-16 314 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 16- 3 315 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 6- 5 317 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 3-10 320 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5- 7 321 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 5- 7 322 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5- 7 324 H Morehead State OV ( 7- 4, 95.2) 6-12 327 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 2- 3 328 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 15- 3 329 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 2- 9 331 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7-17 402 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 403 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7- 6 404 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9-12 407 H UT Arlington WAC (11-14, 93.4) 0- 2 410 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 5- 5 411 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 10-14 412 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9-11 417 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2-12 418 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 3- 8 419 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 6- 9 421 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 0-13 424 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6-10 425 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 8-11 426 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 3-15 428 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 16- 6 501 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 3- 9 502 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 2- 0 503 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 5-10 506 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 5- 3 508 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 5- 2 509 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 4- 2 510 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 2-15 514 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 16- 0 515 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 11- 7 517 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Alabama State 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.77
214 A Alabama State 0-13 -13 -1 --- -11.77
214 A Alabama State 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.23
217 H Utah 16-11 5 -3 +++ 7.92
222 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 4.56
225 A Louisville 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.66
227 A Tulane 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.87
228 A Tulane 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.87
301 A Tulane 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.13
303 A Central Arkansas 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.83
304 H Vanderbilt 4- 4 0 -5 ++ 5.23
306 A Charleston Southern 2-15 -13 -3 --- -10.16
307 H Illinois State 8- 4 4 1 + 3.01
308 H Illinois State 10- 6 4 1 + 3.01
310 A Middle Tennessee 0-17 -17 -3 --- -11.11
312 A BYU 2- 5 -3 -4 1.21
313 H Central Arkansas 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.18
314 H Central Arkansas 16- 3 13 -1 +++ 13.82
315 H Central Arkansas 6- 5 1 -1 1.82
317 A Tennessee 3-10 -7 -6 -0.85
320 A North Alabama 5- 7 -2 -3 0.86
321 H North Florida 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.43
322 A North Alabama 5- 7 -2 -3 0.86
324 H Morehead State 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.66
327 A Lipscomb 2- 3 -1 -2 0.71
328 A Lipscomb 15- 3 12 -2 +++ 13.71
329 A Lipscomb 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.29
331 H Louisville 7-17 -10 -4 -- -5.69
402 H Austin Peay 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13
403 H Austin Peay 7- 6 1 -1 1.87
404 H Austin Peay 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.13
407 H UT Arlington 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.50
410 A North Carolina A&T 5- 5 0 0 -0.41
411 H Bellarmine 10-14 -4 1 -- -4.73
412 H Bellarmine 9-11 -2 1 - -2.73
417 A Central Arkansas 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.83
418 A Central Arkansas 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.83
419 A Central Arkansas 6- 9 -3 -2 -0.83
421 H Western Kentucky 0-13 -13 -2 --- -10.54
424 H North Alabama 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.49
425 H North Alabama 8-11 -3 -2 -1.49
426 H North Alabama 3-15 -12 -2 --- -10.49
428 A Northern Kentucky 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.99
501 H Lipscomb 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.64
502 H Lipscomb 2- 0 2 0 + 2.36
503 H Lipscomb 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.64
506 A Western Kentucky 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.82
508 A Austin Peay 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.22
509 A Austin Peay 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.22
510 A Austin Peay 2-15 -13 -2 --- -10.78
514 H Towson 16- 0 16 1 +++ 13.29
515 H Towson 11- 7 4 1 + 3.29
517 A Bellarmine 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Alabama State 0-13 -13 -1 --- -11.77 306 A Charleston Southern 2-15 -13 -3 --- -10.16 310 A Middle Tennessee 0-17 -17 -3 --- -11.11 417 A Central Arkansas 2-12 -10 -2 --- -7.83 421 H Western Kentucky 0-13 -13 -2 --- -10.54 426 H North Alabama 3-15 -12 -2 --- -10.49 510 A Austin Peay 2-15 -13 -2 --- -10.78 301 A Tulane 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.13 329 A Lipscomb 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.29 331 H Louisville 7-17 -10 -4 -- -5.69 411 H Bellarmine 10-14 -4 1 -- -4.73 501 H Lipscomb 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.64 503 H Lipscomb 5-10 -5 0 -- -4.64 303 A Central Arkansas 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.83 313 H Central Arkansas 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.18 324 H Morehead State 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.66 402 H Austin Peay 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.13 404 H Austin Peay 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.13 412 H Bellarmine 9-11 -2 1 - -2.73 418 A Central Arkansas 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.83 424 H North Alabama 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Alabama State 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.23 217 H Utah 16-11 5 -3 +++ 7.92 228 A Tulane 6- 3 3 -4 +++ 6.87 314 H Central Arkansas 16- 3 13 -1 +++ 13.82 328 A Lipscomb 15- 3 12 -2 +++ 13.71 428 A Northern Kentucky 16- 6 10 1 +++ 8.99 514 H Towson 16- 0 16 1 +++ 13.29 222 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 -6 ++ 4.56 225 A Louisville 5- 6 -1 -6 ++ 4.66 304 H Vanderbilt 4- 4 0 -5 ++ 5.23 506 A Western Kentucky 5- 3 2 -4 ++ 5.82 508 A Austin Peay 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 5.22 509 A Austin Peay 4- 2 2 -2 ++ 4.22 517 A Bellarmine 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.62 227 A Tulane 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.87 307 H Illinois State 8- 4 4 1 + 3.01 308 H Illinois State 10- 6 4 1 + 3.01 502 H Lipscomb 2- 0 2 0 + 2.36 515 H Towson 11- 7 4 1 + 3.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 3- 6 -8.13 10.30 0.68 0.55 -2.03
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 0-13 -8.13 10.30 0.68 0.55 -2.03
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 14- 7 -8.13 10.30 0.68 0.55 11.97
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 16-11 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.55 13.81
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 4- 5 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.55 -0.85
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5- 6 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.55 -0.82
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 4- 5 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 6- 3 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.55 14.85
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 3-11 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.55 -1.31
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 0- 5 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.55 -1.78
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 4- 4 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 A Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 2-15 -6.52 11.91 0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 4 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.55 9.55
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 10- 6 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.55 9.55
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 0-17 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.55 -1.58
3 A BYU (28-27, 94.7) 2- 5 -5.15 13.28 0.68 0.55 -1.22
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 12-16 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.55 -2.15
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 16- 3 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.55 11.52
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 6- 5 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.55 11.52
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 3-10 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.55 -0.69
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 5- 7 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 5- 7 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.55 -1.94
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 5- 7 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.55 -1.59
3 H Morehead State ( 7- 4, 95.2) 6-12 -4.67 13.76 -0.68 0.55 -1.46
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 2- 3 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.55 -1.90
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 15- 3 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.55 12.49
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 2- 9 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.55 -1.90
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7-17 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.55 -1.19
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.55 -2.13
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 7- 6 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.55 11.58
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9-12 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.55 -2.13
3 H UT Arlington (11-14, 93.4) 0- 2 -6.51 11.92 -0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 5- 5 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.55 0.00
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 10-14 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.55 -2.57
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 9-11 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.55 -2.57
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2-12 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.55 -1.78
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 3- 8 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.55 -1.78
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 6- 9 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.55 -1.78
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 0-13 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.55 -1.70
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 6-10 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 8-11 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 3-15 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.55 -1.96
3 A Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 16- 6 -10.38 8.05 0.68 0.55 9.52
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 3- 9 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.55 -2.27
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 2- 0 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.55 11.02
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 5-10 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.55 -2.27
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 5- 3 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.55 14.79
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 5- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.55 13.06
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 4- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.55 13.06
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 2-15 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.55 -1.76
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 16- 0 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.55 9.85
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 11- 7 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.55 9.85
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 9- 4 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.55 11.31
------
139.78
|
winning pts = 199.3213 losing points = -59.5369
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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